Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Philosophy: Causality

I like xkcd.


Sunday, December 7, 2008

Unemployment Rate Truth

Unemployment is NOT at 6.7% in reality. The 6.7% figure is an accounting ruse, a shadow government statistic. A better measurement of unemployment (the BLS U-6 below) is at a whopping 12.5%!

This data is "better" because of the information included - real people with real lives. But more, the data still excludes "discouraged workers", a data element defined away under the Clinton administration. This latter data element was used when measuring unemployment in the late 70's. So, what does unemployment today look like when measured in the way it was measured in the 70's? More like 13-16%! See below:

A more truthful "ballpark" estimate for unemployment is take whatever figure you hear in the media and multiply it by 2 - then you'll be much closer to reality.

The nationwide unemployment rate during the Great Depression was ~ 25% (assuming data measurement of U-6 + "discouraged workers"). Currently, based on our worst-case measurements above, it looks like we may already be 2/3 of the way there.

Ugly.


Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Induced Abortions for Oregonians

In 2003: 12,622
In 2004: 11,443
In 2005: 11,602
In 2006: 12,246
In 2007: 11,663

Induced abortion is the intentional killing of innocent human life. Oregonians chose to intentionally kill *at least* (the data is voluntarily reported) 59,576 innocent human beings over the past 5 years, excluding 2008.

A quick scan indicates the majority of these elective killings were chosen by women between the ages of 20-24, with the next highest rate of killing elected by 25-29 year old adults. A vast majority are never-married, non-Hispanic whites.

Adult white women are the mass murderers of our time.

Freedom of choice: doesn't it make you proud?

I wonder how many of these induced killings occurred at Catholic health care facilities? Anyone want to review the data? How about tubal ligation's or IVF procedures?


Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Debunking "Developing World" Myths

Some of the best stats, presented as well as can be presented,
by a master statistician: